Pages

Showing posts with label robot. Show all posts
Showing posts with label robot. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

ChatGPT for Robotics, Physical AI

Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement

 


Building ChatGPT for robotics—or, more broadly, achieving Physical AI—is one of the most ambitious frontiers in artificial intelligence. It involves taking the power of LLMs like ChatGPT and embedding it into robots that perceive, act, and reason in the physical world.

Here’s a breakdown of the core challenges, current state, and realistic roadmap:


๐Ÿง  What Is Physical AI?

Physical AI refers to the fusion of:

  • Language models (like ChatGPT)

  • Embodied agents (robots)

  • Multimodal perception (vision, touch, audio)

  • Real-time actuation and control

Think: a humanoid robot you can talk to, that understands your intent, perceives its environment, and physically performs tasks—cleaning, cooking, caregiving, and more.


๐Ÿšง Core Challenges in Building ChatGPT for Robotics

1. Grounding Language in Reality

  • ChatGPT understands language abstractly, but robots must ground words like “grab the red cup” in sensor data.

  • Challenge: Matching symbolic language to real-world objects, locations, and context.

2. Perception and Multimodal Fusion

  • Robots need advanced 3D vision, audio recognition, force feedback, etc.

  • Challenge: Fusing and interpreting noisy, real-time sensory data. Cameras lie. Hands slip.

3. Action Planning and Control

  • Saying "set the table" is easy. Doing it means:

    • Finding the plates

    • Navigating around obstacles

    • Using arms with dexterity

  • Challenge: High-dimensional planning, reinforcement learning, dynamic environments.

4. Real-Time Processing

  • Unlike text-only AI, Physical AI has strict latency constraints.

  • Robots must react in milliseconds—not seconds.

  • Challenge: Real-time inference on-device, or low-latency edge-cloud hybrid systems.

5. Safety and Uncertainty

  • Robots can cause real harm.

  • Challenge: Safe exploration, fail-safes, uncertainty-aware decision making.

6. Scalability and Cost

  • Training robots is slow and expensive.

  • Challenge: Data scarcity, real-world reinforcement learning is brittle and dangerous.

7. Embodiment Diversity

  • Every robot is different. Unlike software, there's no standard “hardware.”

  • Challenge: Generalizing across platforms and tasks (sim2real transfer).


๐Ÿš— How Close Are We to Self-Driving Cars?

80% Done, 80% to Go Problem

  • Cars like Tesla, Waymo, and Cruise handle most highway or mapped urban driving.

  • But the last 10-20% of edge cases—weird weather, aggressive drivers, unusual intersections—are insanely hard.

  • Elon Musk’s “2 years away” promise has been repeated for a decade.

Current status:

  • Waymo/Cruise: Limited, geofenced driverless rides.

  • Tesla: Level 2-2.5 autonomy (driver must monitor).

  • Full Level 5 (anywhere, anytime, no driver): At least 5–10 years away at scale.


๐Ÿ  What About Humanoid Robots for the Home?

2023–2025 Milestones:

  • Tesla Optimus, Figure 01, Agility Digit, Sanctuary AI: Early humanoid prototypes walking, lifting, using basic tools.

  • Some have LLM brains (like OpenAI/Grok in Figure).

Current Capabilities:

  • Walk, talk, pick up objects, follow simple commands.

  • Tasks: folding laundry, fetching items, surveillance, manufacturing support.

Major Gaps:

  • Dexterity (hands still clumsy)

  • Long-horizon planning (multi-step reasoning)

  • Affordability (units cost $50K+ minimum)

  • Adaptability (easily confused in unstructured homes)


๐Ÿ”ฎ Realistic Roadmap: When Will Physical AI Work?

Year Milestone
2025–2027 Household robots for narrow tasks (cleaning floors, surveillance, receptionist)
2028–2030 Assistive humanoids in structured environments (elder care, warehouse support)
2030–2035 Versatile home assistants for middle-class homes; robots that cook, clean, converse
2035+ Self-driving cars and humanoid robots that can operate in unstructured public settings

๐Ÿ’ก What’s Needed to Get There?

  • Sim2Real Transfer: Better simulation-to-reality pipelines (e.g., NVIDIA Isaac, Mujoco, Unity)

  • Multimodal foundation models: Combining vision, language, touch, motion (like Google’s RT-2, OpenAI’s VPT, DeepMind’s Gato)

  • Real-world data at scale: “Robot self-play” (see Google’s Robotic Transformer)

  • Cheap, robust humanoids: Tesla, Figure, and Sanctuary are racing to build iPhone-for-robots


๐Ÿง  Bottom Line

ChatGPT for Robotics = ChatGPT + Eyes + Ears + Hands + Legs + a brain that understands cause and effect in the real world.

We’re getting there—but it’s like building a child that not only learns language, but can do chores, survive traffic, and wash the dishes. A humanoid GPT-powered assistant in your home? Feasible in the next 5–10 years, but it will start with rich households and narrow capabilities.




Liquid Computing: The Future of Human-Tech Symbiosis
Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Monday, June 02, 2025

Humanoid Robots: Not The Most Efficient Robots

 

Humanoid robots are often less efficient than specialized robotics for specific tasks, but their design trade-offs depend on the use case. Here's a breakdown:

  1. Humanoids vs. Stationary Robots:
    Stationary robots, like industrial robotic arms, excel at well-defined, repetitive tasks (e.g., assembly lines, welding, or precision manufacturing). They’re cost-effective because they’re optimized for specific functions, with minimal energy waste and high precision. Humanoids, by contrast, are generalists, designed for versatility in human-centric environments (e.g., homes, offices). Their bipedal form mimics human movement, which is useful for navigating spaces like stairs or cluttered rooms but comes at the cost of complexity, higher energy use, and maintenance. For example, a humanoid like Tesla’s Optimus requires sophisticated balance systems and actuators, driving up costs compared to a stationary robotic arm like those from FANUC, which can perform tasks like welding with sub-millimeter accuracy for a fraction of the energy.
  2. Mobility: Wheels vs. Legs vs. Humanoids:
    • Wheels: Wheeled robots (e.g., warehouse AGVs like those from Amazon) are highly efficient for flat, predictable surfaces. They’re stable, energy-efficient, and cheaper to build/maintain than legged systems. For example, a wheeled delivery robot like Starship’s can operate for hours on a single charge, covering flat urban areas cost-effectively.
    • Four Legs: Quadrupedal robots (e.g., Boston Dynamics’ Spot) offer better stability than humanoids on uneven terrain (e.g., construction sites, disaster zones). They’re more robust for tasks requiring mobility over rough surfaces but are still simpler than humanoids, with fewer degrees of freedom. Spot, for instance, can carry payloads up to 14kg and navigate obstacles, but its design is less versatile for human-specific tasks like manipulating tools designed for hands.
    • Humanoids: Bipedal humanoids shine in environments tailored to humans (e.g., homes, hospitals) where they can use existing infrastructure (door handles, stairs). However, their complexity—requiring dynamic balance, advanced sensors, and more joints—makes them less energy-efficient and costlier. For instance, Honda’s ASIMO consumed significant power just to walk, limiting its practical deployment.
  3. Cost-Effectiveness and Use Case:
    Stationary robots are king for precision and cost in controlled settings. Wheeled robots dominate in flat, open spaces. Quadrupeds are better for rugged terrain. Humanoids are only justified when versatility in human environments outweighs their inefficiency—like caregiving or tasks requiring human-like dexterity. For example, a humanoid might assist an elderly person with daily tasks, but a wheeled robot could deliver groceries more cheaply.
In short, humanoids aren’t inherently “inefficient” but are overkill for tasks where specialized robots (stationary, wheeled, or quadrupedal) can do the job cheaper and better. Their value lies in flexibility for human-centric, unstructured environments, but they’re not the go-to for cost or energy efficiency.

Friday, May 23, 2025

Just Like BYD Beat Tesla in EVs, Chinese Companies Are Poised to Win the Robot Race

Why DeepSeek Took the U.S. by Surprise — A Tale of Blind Spots and Firewalls
How BYD Is Beating Tesla at Its Own Game
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement



Just Like BYD Beat Tesla in EVs, Chinese Companies Are Poised to Win the Robot Race

In the global electric vehicle (EV) market, one fact is now undeniable: BYD has outpaced Tesla in sales and localized dominance. While Tesla popularized the electric car and transformed automotive culture, BYD quietly built scale, diversified models, leaned into affordability, and aligned with the Chinese government's industrial policy. The result? Tesla is now the disruptor being disrupted. And the same playbook suggests that China—not Silicon Valley—is the most likely epicenter of victory in the coming robotics revolution.

The Next Race: Robotics

Tesla’s pivot toward humanoid robotics with its Optimus project is ambitious, but it’s a familiar script: visionary promise, years of delays, and a very centralized, Elon-centric approach. Meanwhile, in China, a swarm of robotics startups—often backed by deep government subsidies, AI-savvy engineers, and abundant hardware manufacturing capacity—are already shipping, scaling, and integrating robots across industries.

Why China Will Likely Win the Robot Race

1. Hardware Ecosystem Advantage

Shenzhen is to robotics what Detroit was to cars in the 20th century. Chinese firms already dominate global manufacturing, sensors, and battery supply chains. When building humanoid or industrial robots, this matters more than sleek software demos. Companies like Fourier Intelligence and UBTech aren’t building robots in isolation—they're backed by an ecosystem that excels in cost-effective production.

2. Workforce and Demographic Alignment

China’s aging population and shrinking labor force create a uniquely strong demand for service and elder-care robots. This provides a massive domestic test bed, regulatory support, and incentive for rapid rollout. Where the U.S. is still debating robot ethics, Chinese companies are putting robots to work—in hospitals, warehouses, and hotels.

3. Aggressive AI + Robotics Integration

China is not just excelling in AI model development—it is integrating AI into physical systems faster. Firms like DeepRobotics, Unitree, and AgileX are already producing legged robots, warehouse bots, and quadrupeds that are rugged and field-ready, not just lab experiments. This convergence of AI + mobility is at the heart of next-gen robotics.

4. Government Policy and Industrial Planning

Unlike Tesla, which relies heavily on private capital and charismatic leadership, Chinese robot companies benefit from top-down industrial policy. Robotics is explicitly prioritized in China’s "Made in China 2025" strategy. With state-backed funding, land, and partnerships, Chinese firms scale faster with fewer roadblocks.

5. Decentralized Innovation

Tesla is a one-man vision machine. China's robotics push is decentralized, with hundreds of startups exploring everything from soft robotics to exoskeletons to factory automation. This parallel innovation model ensures faster iteration, resilience, and market fit discovery.

A BYD Moment in Robotics?

Just as BYD wasn’t the flashiest name in EVs but quietly became the largest, the next global robot leader may not be the loudest or most hyped. It may be a company that focuses on delivering affordable, useful robots at scale—backed by China’s unmatched manufacturing muscle and AI integration.

Tesla sparked the imagination. But just like BYD built the real EV empire, a Chinese robotics company may soon be doing the same with humanoids, quadrupeds, and autonomous machines.

In the robot wars of the 2030s, don’t be surprised if the victor speaks Mandarin.







Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Robotic Compatriots

Official photographic portrait of US President...
Official photographic portrait of US President Barack Obama (born 4 August 1961; assumed office 20 January 2009) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The Next Wave of Factory Robots
Ever since General Motors first put “Unimate” on an assembly line in 1961, most manufacturing robots have worked in isolation, caged off from human workers. Now a new breed of more flexible robot is being developed to work more closely with people.
Human beings were never supposed to be alone. Robots were always supposed to work alongside them.

If robots are cheaper than the cheapest humans, and if they are to work alongside the expensive humans in America, then there is perhaps hope for manufacturing in America. Or so my man Obama thinks.


Enhanced by Zemanta

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Volcanic Eruption 4,000 Feet Below Sea Level



Captured by undersea robot.

"Since the water pressure at that depth suppresses the violence of the volcano's explosions, we could get the underwater robot within feet of the active eruption. On land, or even in shallow water, you could never hope to get this close and see such great detail."