a 99.7% decline in the death toll from natural disasters since its peak in 1931........... In 1931, 3.7 million people died from natural disasters. In 2018, just 11,000 did. And that decline occurred over a period when the global population quadrupled. ........ IPCC estimates sea level could rise two feet (0.6 meters) by 2100. Does that sound apocalyptic or even “unmanageable”? ......... Consider that one-third of the Netherlands is below sea level, and some areas are seven meters below sea level. You might object that the Netherlands is rich while Bangladesh is poor. But
the Netherlands adapted to living below sea level 400 years ago............. Humans today produce enough food for 10 billion people, or 25% more than we need ........ The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasts crop yields increasing 30% by 2050. And the poorest parts of the world, like sub-Saharan Africa, are expected to see increases of 80 to 90%. ............ Wheat yields increased 100 to 300% around the world since the 1960s, while a study of 30 models found that yields would decline by 6% for every one degree Celsius increase in temperature............. Rates of future yield growth depend far more on whether poor nations get access to tractors, irrigation, and fertilizer than on climate change, says FAO.......... By 2100, IPCC projects the global economy will be 300 to 500% larger than it is today. Both IPCC and the Nobel-winning Yale economist, William Nordhaus, predict that warming of 2.5°C and 4°C would reduce gross domestic product (GDP) by 2% and 5% over that same period............. Climate change may threaten one million species globally and half of all mammals, reptiles, and amphibians in diverse places like the Albertine Rift in central Africa, home to the endangered mountain gorilla.......... Of the 10 variables that influence fire, “none were as significant… as the anthropogenic variables,” such as building homes near, and managing fires and wood fuel growth within, forests......... “If you want to minimize carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in 2070 you might want to accelerate the burning of coal in India today,” MIT climate scientist Kerry Emanuel said. ......... “It doesn’t sound like it makes sense. Coal is terrible for carbon. But it’s by burning a lot of coal that they make themselves wealthier, and by making themselves wealthier they have fewer children, and you don’t have as many people burning carbon, you might be better off in 2070.” .........
the extreme rhetoric is making political agreement on climate change harder........ “We shouldn’t be forced to choose between lifting people out of poverty and doing something for the climate.” ....... Happily, there is a plenty of middle ground between climate apocalypse and climate denial.
The photos you saw weren't of today's fires in Brazil— Mike Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) August 26, 2019
Amazon isn't the "lungs of the world"
Deforestation is 75% below 2004 peak
*Forest* fires not increasing
Fires 7% more than decadal ave.
Here's why everything they say about the Amazon is wronghttps://t.co/dQIIwv5DRq
Top scientists criticize apocalyptic climate rhetoric— Mike Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) November 25, 2019
-Koalas aren't "functionally extinct"
-Non-climate causes of Australia fires outweigh climate
-Natural disaster deaths down 99%
-Crop yields to rise 30% by 2050
Here's why we're speaking out nowhttps://t.co/7UX4xWDgTK
Climate change forecasts do not predict societal collapse or the extinction of humanity.— Ramez Naam (@ramez) November 22, 2019
People saying so are not adhering to climate science. And are not helping us get climate or clean energy progress. https://t.co/b44IaCiHwd
@ExtinctionR spokesperson @SLunnon1 falsely claimed California power cuts were due to climate change— Mike Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) November 21, 2019
As I reported, all the top fire scientists agree that wood fuel build-up & development outweigh climate
“It’s almost certainly not climate change” https://t.co/pQwPRD2Lhw
It In 1981, economist Amartya Sen published a book disproving idea that famines occur because not enough food is produced— Mike Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) November 21, 2019
Famines are caused by war, oppression, etc blocking distribution not shortages in production
Sen won the Nobel Prize for his research
What @SLunnon1 is doing is repeating totally discredited Malthusian garbage— Mike Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD) November 21, 2019
Malthusians have predicted food shortages for 200+ years
THEY ARE ALWAYS WRONG
Environmental Progress: Founder President