Pages

Showing posts with label openai. Show all posts
Showing posts with label openai. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 11, 2025

YC Is the New IBM — And That’s the Problem

The Plateau of Plenty: Why VCs Are the Seers of Our Time
Why OpenAI Has Failed Compared to Early Google
The Slow Descent of Apple: Missing the AI Wave Like Microsoft Missed Mobile
Beyond Full Self-Driving: The Smarter, Faster Path to Safer Transit


YC Is the New IBM — And That’s the Problem

Y Combinator is one of the most iconic institutions in the startup world. It has funded over 4,000 startups, including legendary names like Airbnb, Stripe, and Dropbox. It redefined what early-stage acceleration could mean. It made demo day a cultural event. It scaled.

But here’s the uncomfortable truth: Y Combinator never grew up. Yes, it scaled like a factory—like you used to make five ceramic cups and now you produce 50. But scale isn’t evolution. And YC hasn’t evolved for the era we’re in. It was designed for 2005, and it’s still running the same playbook in 2025.

Can the next OpenAI be born inside YC? The answer is clear: No. And here's why that matters.

The Myth of Scalability as Innovation

Y Combinator perfected the pipeline of churning out “fundable” startups, often with minimal innovation risk. You don’t go to YC to build a moonshot—you go to YC to get a bridge round and validation. The model optimizes for safe bets, not world-changing bets.

That’s why the biggest tech bets of the last decade didn’t come from YC:

  • OpenAI? Born out of an elite coalition of thinkers and capitalists, not a YC batch.

  • NVIDIA’s AI bet? Vision from within a hardware company with deep technical roots.

  • DeepMind? U.K.-based and far more academically anchored than YC-style hustle.

  • SpaceX? Elon didn't start it with $125k and a pitch deck.

YC didn’t—and perhaps couldn’t—incubate these.

The Platform Problem: YC Is Craigslist

YC today is like Craigslist. Once, it was everything—jobs, housing, gigs. But then a thousand verticals unbundled it: Airbnb took housing, LinkedIn took jobs, Uber took rides, and so on.

YC is waiting to be unbundled in the same way.

It is a generalist factory in a world now defined by the intersections of specialized, emerging technologies—AI + biotech, crypto + supply chain, robotics + mental health. These aren’t demo-day darlings. These are decade-long labs. These are fund-and-build platforms. They require long-term, infrastructure-level thinking.

The Old Playbook Can’t Win New Games

YC was built for Web 2.0. It flourished when minimal viable products and agile iterations could quickly lead to market traction. But the new wave of innovation doesn’t move in 3-month cycles. We’re entering a world of:

  • Pre-trained models that cost tens of millions

  • Deep tech that requires regulation-savvy founders

  • Climate tech with long feedback loops

  • Decentralized protocols with complex incentive engineering

What these ventures need is not YC’s playbook. They need patient capital, deep integration with research institutions, infrastructure support, cross-disciplinary expertise, and a new breed of founder networks.

YC Is IBM. Where’s the Next Apple?

In many ways, YC is IBM now—respected, still powerful, but stagnant. You know what that makes the opportunity? We need 100 new post-YCs. Each one laser-focused on a vertical. Each one optimized for depth, not breadth. Just like Airbnb pulled one vertical out of Craigslist and ran with it, the accelerators of the next decade will do the same with YC.

We’ll see:

  • An OpenAI-style research-to-commercialization lab for AGI

  • A biotech founder accelerator with embedded labs and FDA navigation

  • A climate moonshot studio building infrastructure, not MVPs

  • A sovereign-technology accelerator for deep geopolitical alignment

Each of these would make YC look like a hobby club for hustlers with slide decks.

Point Be Noted

Let’s not confuse ubiquity with relevance. YC’s continued dominance in the startup discourse is a legacy effect. Its true limitations are masked by volume. But volume is not vision. And in the AI era, in the climate era, in the post-scarcity, post-crypto, post-Web2 world, we need vision.

The most important companies of the next 20 years won’t come out of YC.

They will be born elsewhere—on new platforms, with new rules, under new accelerators that know how to build for complexity, capital intensity, and global impact.

YC lit the flame.

But it's time for a new fire.

Paul Graham's Favorite History Books
Paul Graham: The Shape of the Essay Field
Elon Musk's Leadership Mistakes At Tesla
Paul Graham’s Timeless Advice for Tech Startups: A Masterclass in Building the Future

Liquid Computing: The Future of Human-Tech Symbiosis
Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Paul Graham, Brad Feld, Me, BBC (2010)
United States to woo entrepreneurs with new visa law

100 Emergent Technologies Of The Recent Decades And Their Intersections
Skip the Landline: Why Perplexity AI Must Leap Boldly Into the Future
Prompts Are Thoughts
The Five Year Window: A Smarter Lens for Navigating the Future
Government Tech: The Next Great Leap in Nation-Building (GovTech)
Is Tesla Really a $25 Trillion Company Because of Optimus? A Deep Dive into Elon's Claim
AI-Era Social Network: The Facebook Killer That Looks Nothing Like Facebook
Why Thinking Big Is the Safest Bet in the Age of AI and Exponential Technologies
10 Trends In ClimateTech
Solve Drinking Water
Deep Ocean, Surface Of Mars: Colonization Prospects
Why Is Crypto Regulation Hard?
The Collision of Emerging Technologies: Where the Future of Tech Ignites
Unicorns, Elephants, And Plentiful Trillion Dollar Companies
The Physics: Bigger Rockets Are Harder To "Get Right"
Solugen: The Tesla of Chemicals—Why Isn’t It a Household Name Yet?
Software Ate the World. Now AI Is Eating Software.
Google vs. Google: The AI Disruption and the Innovator’s Dilemma

 

Y Combinator (YC) holds a 7% equity stake in each of its ~5,000 portfolio companies via its standard deal (ycombinator.com).

Industry estimates put the combined valuation of YC-backed startups at approximately:

Using those ranges:

  • At $600 billion total, YC’s 7% stake is worth:

    0.07×$600 billion=$42 billion0.07 \times \$600\,\text{billion} = \$42\,\text{billion}

  • At an upper estimate of $900 billion, YC’s stake would be:

    0.07×$900 billion=$63 billion0.07 \times \$900\,\text{billion} = \$63\,\text{billion}

๐Ÿ“Š Summary

Assumed Portfolio Valuation YC’s Stake (7%) Estimated Worth
$600B 7% $42 billion
$900B 7% $63 billion

So, YC’s 7% equity across its ~5,000 companies is likely worth between $42 billion and $63 billion, depending on how you calculate “total portfolio value.”


Opinion: First Lady Melania and Pope Leo are right — it’s “unum” time Unum doesn’t erase conflict or pretend we all agree. It’s not utopia. It’s the hard, daily work of choosing coexistence over chaos ..... a time when America — and the world — feels dangerously divided. ....... Unum means Jewish and Muslim Americans grieving side-by-side. It means a First Lady who grew up Catholic in Slovenia invoking a motto that speaks across American synagogues, mosques and churches alike. It means a Pope who spent years in Latin America calling for peace — not as an abstract dream, but as an urgent task. .......... In moments like these, we face two temptations. One is despair: to give up, to believe the divisions are too deep. The other is rage: to blame, punish and retreat into our tribes. ......... Pope Leo XIV said it plainly: “Be bridgebuilders, peace seekers, and companions on the journey.” That’s not just a prayer. It’s a plan. ......... Because in a world driven by algorithms that divide and outrage that sells, choosing Unum is radical. It means staying at the table when you’d rather storm out. It means believing that pluralism — people of different faiths, races, beliefs and stories — can still build a shared life. ......... belonging isn’t partisan. It’s American. It always has been.

at No comments:
Labels: , , , ,

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Why OpenAI Has Failed Compared to Early Google




OpenAI's decision to charge for ChatGPT (e.g., with its ChatGPT Plus plan) contrasts sharply with Google's early strategy of offering its most powerful product—search—entirely free to users while monetizing elsewhere. Here's a critique of that approach and 10 monetization strategies OpenAI could pursue to make ChatGPT universally free without sacrificing profitability.

Argument: Why OpenAI Has Failed Compared to Early Google

Early Google’s success lay in:

  • Making core functionality free to all, regardless of geography or wealth.

  • Building market dominance and network effects through universal access.

  • Monetizing adjacent activity—especially through Google Ads and search data analytics.

OpenAI, in contrast, has:

  • Gated its most powerful features (GPT-4, code interpreter, memory) behind a paywall.

  • Risked slowing down global adoption, especially in the Global South and among low-income users.

  • Created friction at a time when it could have accelerated ubiquity.

This is a strategic failure in the platform era: AI dominance depends not just on performance, but on mass adoption, ecosystem growth, and data feedback loops. A free ChatGPT tier with GPT-4 access would be a better moat than subscriptions.

10 Monetization Alternatives So OpenAI Could Offer ChatGPT for Free

1. Sponsored AI Responses (AdGPT)

Like Google Search ads, inject sponsored answers into ChatGPT results—clearly labeled.

  • Example: "Looking for running shoes?" —> Paid recommendation from Nike.

  • This preserves the core free experience while enabling intent-based monetization.

2. AI-Native Shopping & Recommendations Engine

Let brands pay to be discoverable through ChatGPT when users express buying intent.

  • OpenAI could power a new kind of “AI Shopping Assistant” like Amazon+Google fused.

  • Revenue from affiliate commissions, brand placements, and product integrations.

3. Data & Analytics API for Enterprises

Monetize anonymized trend data or allow brands to query user sentiment/interest over time.

  • Think: OpenAI as the Nielsen/Comscore of the AI era.

  • Sell insights—not user data, but patterns.

4. AI Agents Marketplace Cut

Let developers and companies build agents on GPT infrastructure and take a revenue share.

  • Just as Apple earns 30% from the App Store, OpenAI could host a “GPT Agent Store.”

5. Monetize API and Tooling for Enterprise, Keep User Access Free

Keep API and DevTool pricing for large orgs (as it does now), but make ChatGPT itself free.

  • Microsoft, Salesforce, Notion, etc., are paying. End users shouldn’t have to.

6. Hardware & Embedded Licensing (GPT in Devices)

Charge device makers (phones, cars, TVs) to embed GPT natively.

  • Example: A “GPT Inside” chip-like model—OEMs pay per unit to include OpenAI smarts.

7. Enterprise ChatGPT Pro with Private Data Enclaves

Offer premium, secure ChatGPT services to enterprises who want full control over context, memory, and models.

  • High-margin B2B SaaS; subsidizes free public use.

8. Co-branded ChatGPT Assistants for Influencers & Brands

Imagine “MrBeastGPT” or “NikeGPT.” OpenAI could charge for white-labeled assistants.

  • Revenue from licensing, brand partnerships, and co-marketing campaigns.

9. Education Platform Licensing (GPTU)

Build a global AI-first education platform with GPT tutors and sell to institutions.

  • Governments and private schools pay; students access for free.

10. AI-Powered Search to Compete with Google/Bing (Ad Revenue)

Build or partner on a web search product where ChatGPT integrates results and ads.

  • Long-term play: eat into Google's ad monopoly.

  • Monetize through cost-per-click (CPC) search ads, not user subscriptions.

Conclusion

Google’s greatness stemmed from making its core product free and monetizing around it. OpenAI should do the same. Charging for ChatGPT limits reach, slows data loops, and shrinks its moat just when it should be expanding fast. By embracing these 10 monetization models—especially advertising, AI commerce, agents, and enterprise licensing—OpenAI can deliver universal access to AI while building an even larger business than subscriptions allow.

If Google could build a trillion-dollar empire without ever charging for Search, OpenAI can build the next trillion-dollar ecosystem by freeing ChatGPT.


Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Liquid Computing: The Future of Human-Tech Symbiosis
Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Emptying 40% of NYC Is Not Logical: America Needs Common Sense Immigration Reform
ICE: Los Angeles, New York City
Thomas Jefferson’s Forgotten Vision: A Constitution for Every Generation
Components Of A Sane Southern Border
A Formula for Peace in Ukraine: A Practical Path Forward

Unfounded Fears Of Technology: 20 Examples
The Slow Descent of Apple: Missing the AI Wave Like Microsoft Missed Mobile

at No comments:
Labels: , , , ,

Saturday, May 31, 2025

31: OpenAI

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Although the video was deleted later, according to police sources, Panoli had uploaded it on Instagram that contained "disrespectful and derogatory remarks" targeting a particular religion.

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

Velocity Money: Crypto, Karma, and the End of Traditional Economics
The Next Decade of Biotech: Convergence, Innovation, and Transformation
Beyond Motion: How Robots Will Redefine The Art Of Movement
ChatGPT For Business: A Workbook
Becoming an AI-First Organization
Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Remote Work Productivity Hacks
How to Make Money with AI Tools
AI for Beginners

at No comments:
Labels:

Monday, May 26, 2025

Free ChatGPT Plus for All UAE Residents

 


The United Arab Emirates (UAE) becoming the first country with nationwide ChatGPT access refers to a groundbreaking initiative where every citizen and resident of the UAE will receive free access to ChatGPT Plus, the premium version of OpenAI’s AI chatbot, as part of a partnership between OpenAI and the UAE government. This is under the "Stargate UAE" project, aimed at positioning the UAE as a global leader in AI technology. Here’s a detailed explanation of what this means and its implications:

What It Means
  1. Free ChatGPT Plus for All UAE Residents:
    • ChatGPT Plus, which typically costs $20 per month, provides access to advanced features like GPT-4o, OpenAI’s most capable model, offering enhanced capabilities in writing, coding, problem-solving, and more.
    • Every individual in the UAE—citizens and residents alike—will have access to this premium service at no cost, making advanced AI tools widely available across the population. This includes students, professionals, entrepreneurs, and government workers.
  2. Part of the Stargate UAE Project:
    • The initiative is tied to the development of a massive AI supercomputing cluster in Abu Dhabi, called Stargate UAE, built in collaboration with OpenAI, G42 (an Emirati AI firm), and tech giants like Nvidia, Oracle, Cisco, and SoftBank.
    • The data center, expected to be one of the largest in the world, will have a 5-gigawatt capacity, with 200 megawatts operational by 2026. It aims to provide AI infrastructure and compute power within a 2,000-mile radius, potentially serving half the world’s population.
  3. Integration Across Sectors:
    • ChatGPT will be integrated into key UAE sectors like government agencies, healthcare, education, and energy. This could streamline public services, enhance educational tools, improve healthcare diagnostics, and optimize energy management through AI-driven solutions.
  4. First-of-Its-Kind Global Move:
    • The UAE is the first country to provide universal access to ChatGPT Plus, setting a precedent for democratizing AI. This aligns with OpenAI’s “OpenAI for Countries” program, which seeks to help nations build sovereign AI capabilities while collaborating with the U.S.
Implications
  1. Democratization of AI:
    • By offering free access to advanced AI tools, the UAE is enabling its population—regardless of socioeconomic status—to leverage AI for education, innovation, and productivity. This could foster widespread AI literacy and creativity, empowering students, startups, and professionals to explore applications in writing, coding, research, and more.
  2. Economic and Technological Leadership:
    • The Stargate UAE project positions the UAE as a global AI hub, complementing its investments in AI infrastructure and education (e.g., the Mohamed bin Zayed University of AI). The data center’s massive compute power could attract global businesses, researchers, and AI developers, boosting the UAE’s economy and technological influence.
    • The UAE’s $1.4 trillion commitment to invest in U.S. infrastructure, with reciprocal investments from G42, strengthens U.S.-UAE ties and supports job creation and technological leadership in both nations.
  3. Geopolitical and Security Concerns:
    • The deal has raised concerns in some circles, particularly in the U.S., due to the UAE’s historical ties to China and fears that advanced AI technology (e.g., Nvidia’s H100 chips) could be accessed by adversaries. However, the Trump administration’s reversal of Biden-era chip export restrictions has facilitated this partnership, with safeguards like dollar-for-dollar U.S. investments to mitigate risks.
  4. Global AI Race:
    • The UAE’s move could spark a global trend where other nations pursue similar partnerships to provide AI access and build infrastructure. OpenAI’s Chief Strategy Officer, Jason Kwon, has indicated plans to explore similar deals in Asia Pacific, suggesting the UAE model may be a blueprint for others.
    • This could intensify the global AI race, with the Gulf region potentially emerging as a third major AI hub alongside the U.S. and China.
  5. Societal Impact:
    • Free access to ChatGPT Plus could transform education by providing students with personalized learning tools, enhance healthcare through AI-assisted diagnostics, and improve government efficiency with AI-driven automation. It also promotes inclusivity by ensuring everyone, from schoolchildren to entrepreneurs, can use cutting-edge AI.
Challenges and Considerations
  • Implementation Details: While announced, the exact rollout timeline and access mechanisms (e.g., via apps, government portals, or browsers) are unclear. Posts on X suggest it’s either live or imminent, but specifics are pending.
  • Digital Divide: While the initiative aims to democratize AI, disparities in digital literacy or internet access could limit its impact for some residents.
  • Ethical and Privacy Concerns: Widespread AI use raises questions about data privacy, ethical AI deployment, and potential misuse, which the UAE will need to address through robust regulations.
  • Global Perceptions: Critics, as noted by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, have questioned the deal due to geopolitical concerns, but supporters see it as a bold step toward global AI collaboration.
Conclusion
The UAE’s nationwide ChatGPT Plus access is a pioneering step in making advanced AI a public utility, akin to universal basic AI. By coupling free access with a massive AI data center, the UAE is not only empowering its population but also positioning itself as a leader in the global AI landscape. This could drive innovation, economic growth, and societal transformation, though it comes with challenges like geopolitical scrutiny and implementation hurdles. The initiative may inspire other nations to follow suit, reshaping how AI is accessed and utilized globally.






at No comments:
Labels: , , , , ,
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)