Pages

Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ukraine. Show all posts

Friday, August 15, 2025

AI Safety, Clean Energy, and the Road to Peace

 




AI Safety, Clean Energy, and the Road to Peace

The 21st century is being shaped by two parallel revolutions: China’s leadership in clean energy and America’s leadership in artificial intelligence. Each represents a different front in the global struggle to secure a livable future. Yet, paradoxically, the future will not be secure without cooperation between these two superpowers.

AI Safety, in particular, cannot be achieved without a framework that brings Washington and Beijing to the same table. Algorithms do not respect borders, and risks in one country inevitably spill across the globe. But there is a precondition: genuine peace. That means resolving flashpoints that currently make cooperation impossible. Chief among them is Taiwan.

Peace for Taiwan: The Missing Piece

The Taiwan question has long been a fault line between China and the United States. But it is not an unsolvable problem. As argued in Peace For Taiwan Is Possible link, there are pathways to de-escalation and creative diplomacy that allow both sides to claim dignity, security, and peace. Without this breakthrough, every AI safety conference, every clean energy partnership, every global summit will remain shadowed by mistrust.

Ukraine: Another Domino of Peace

The war in Ukraine is not just a European tragedy—it is a test case for whether the world can find political solutions to violent conflicts. Formula For Peace In Ukraine link lays out approaches that move beyond military stalemates and sanctions toward political commitments that could end the cycle of destruction. Ukraine’s resolution, like Taiwan’s, is not separate from the larger architecture of peace. They are interlinked in the psychology of trust between the great powers.

AI Safety: A Shared Destiny

Finally, we arrive at AI Safety—the most global of all challenges. As Challenges In AI Safety link makes clear, AI is not a tool that can be safely regulated in isolation by one country. It demands a cooperative regime, something akin to arms control in the nuclear age, but even broader in scope. And here’s the rub: such cooperation will remain impossible while the Taiwan Strait remains a tripwire for war and Ukraine continues as a bleeding wound in Europe.

The Interconnected Path

Peace for Taiwan. Peace for Ukraine. Safety in AI. Three separate goals, yet deeply interrelated. To achieve one, we must advance on all three. The world cannot afford to let mistrust fester in one arena while hoping for cooperation in another.

It is time for visionary leadership that recognizes these links, builds bridges where walls have stood for decades, and forges a new global compact—where energy, intelligence, and peace come together to secure the human future.



 



एआई सुरक्षा, स्वच्छ ऊर्जा और शांति का मार्ग

21वीं सदी दो समानांतर क्रांतियों से आकार ले रही है: स्वच्छ ऊर्जा में चीन की नेतृत्वकारी भूमिका और कृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्ता (AI) में अमेरिका की अग्रणी स्थिति। ये दोनों एक रहने योग्य भविष्य की गारंटी के लिए अलग-अलग मोर्चे हैं। लेकिन विरोधाभास यह है कि बिना इन दो महाशक्तियों के सहयोग के भविष्य सुरक्षित नहीं होगा।

विशेषकर एआई सुरक्षा तब तक संभव नहीं जब तक वॉशिंगटन और बीजिंग एक ही मेज़ पर नहीं बैठते। एल्गोरिदम सीमाओं का सम्मान नहीं करते, और एक देश में पैदा हुए जोखिम पूरी दुनिया में फैल जाते हैं। लेकिन इसकी एक शर्त है: सच्ची शांति। इसका अर्थ है उन विवादों का समाधान करना जो आज सहयोग को असंभव बनाते हैं। इनमें सबसे अहम है ताइवान।

ताइवान के लिए शांति: गुमशुदा कड़ी

ताइवान का मुद्दा लंबे समय से चीन और अमेरिका के बीच तनाव की दरार रहा है। लेकिन यह कोई असंभव समस्या नहीं है। Peace For Taiwan Is Possible लिंक में यह तर्क दिया गया है कि गरिमा, सुरक्षा और शांति को बनाए रखते हुए दोनों पक्षों के लिए समाधान और रचनात्मक कूटनीति के रास्ते मौजूद हैं। जब तक यह प्रगति नहीं होती, तब तक हर एआई सुरक्षा सम्मेलन, हर स्वच्छ ऊर्जा साझेदारी और हर वैश्विक शिखर सम्मेलन अविश्वास की छाया में रहेगा।

यूक्रेन: शांति का दूसरा पड़ाव

यूक्रेन का युद्ध केवल यूरोप की त्रासदी नहीं है—यह एक परीक्षण है कि क्या दुनिया हिंसक संघर्षों का राजनीतिक समाधान खोज सकती है। Formula For Peace In Ukraine लिंक ऐसे दृष्टिकोण प्रस्तुत करता है जो सैन्य गतिरोध और प्रतिबंधों से आगे बढ़कर राजनीतिक प्रतिबद्धताओं की ओर ले जाते हैं, जो इस विनाशकारी चक्र को समाप्त कर सकते हैं। यूक्रेन का समाधान, ठीक ताइवान की तरह, व्यापक शांति संरचना से जुड़ा हुआ है। ये दोनों महाशक्तियों के बीच विश्वास की मनोविज्ञान में आपस में गहराई से जुड़े हैं।

एआई सुरक्षा: साझा नियति

अंततः हम पहुँचते हैं एआई सुरक्षा पर—जो सभी चुनौतियों में सबसे वैश्विक है। Challenges In AI Safety लिंक यह स्पष्ट करता है कि एआई ऐसा उपकरण नहीं है जिसे कोई एक देश अलग-थलग रहकर सुरक्षित रूप से नियंत्रित कर सके। इसके लिए सहयोगात्मक व्यवस्था की आवश्यकता है, कुछ वैसा ही जैसा परमाणु युग में हथियार नियंत्रण के लिए हुआ था, लेकिन कहीं अधिक व्यापक दायरे के साथ। और यही असली चुनौती है: जब तक ताइवान जलडमरूमध्य युद्ध का खतरा बना रहता है और यूरोप में यूक्रेन का घाव रिसता रहता है, तब तक ऐसा सहयोग असंभव रहेगा।

परस्पर जुड़ा हुआ मार्ग

ताइवान के लिए शांति। यूक्रेन के लिए शांति। एआई में सुरक्षा। तीन अलग-अलग लक्ष्य, फिर भी गहराई से जुड़े हुए। किसी एक को प्राप्त करने के लिए, हमें तीनों पर प्रगति करनी होगी। दुनिया इस भूल का जोखिम नहीं उठा सकती कि एक क्षेत्र में अविश्वास बना रहे और फिर भी दूसरे क्षेत्र में सहयोग की उम्मीद की जाए।

अब समय है दूरदर्शी नेतृत्व का—ऐसा नेतृत्व जो इन कड़ियों को पहचाने, दशकों से खड़ी दीवारों की जगह पुल बनाए और एक नए वैश्विक समझौते का निर्माण करे—जहाँ ऊर्जा, बुद्धिमत्ता और शांति मिलकर मानवता का भविष्य सुरक्षित करें।


Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
Challenges In AI Safety

Saturday, July 26, 2025

26: Ukraine

Exclusive: Trump cuts to hit rural America like "a tsunami," Democrat warns
Trump backs down, forced to release $5 billion in school funds after lawsuit and backlash

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

The Protocol of Greatness (novel)
A Reorganized UN: Built From Ground Up
The Drum Report: Markets, Tariffs, and the Man in the Basement (novel)
World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Multiple Lenses on the Russia-Ukraine War: Power, Ideology, and the Elusive Road to Peace



Multiple Lenses on the Russia-Ukraine War: Power, Ideology, and the Elusive Road to Peace


The Russia-Ukraine war is one of the most consequential and multi-layered conflicts of the 21st century. At its surface, it appears to be a territorial invasion by a larger state against a smaller neighbor. But beneath the headlines lie a range of historical, ideological, geopolitical, and psychological dimensions. This is not just about tanks and trenches — it is a conflict that echoes through the halls of empires, democracy movements, and post-colonial reckonings.

Let’s unpack several distinct — yet interconnected — ways to understand the war and its broader implications.


1. Big Powers vs. Small States: Russia’s Monroe Doctrine?

One way to understand Russia’s aggression is through the lens of great power behavior. Vladimir Putin, in asserting that Ukraine should not fall under Western influence or join NATO, is essentially reviving a Russian version of the Monroe Doctrine — the 19th-century U.S. policy that warned European powers to stay out of the Americas.

From this view, Russia is acting not necessarily out of insecurity, but out of hegemonic instinct. It sees Ukraine not as a sovereign country making sovereign decisions, but as a zone of strategic interest, a buffer that must remain under Moscow’s sway.

But the flaw in this argument is exposed by Eastern Europe's voluntary embrace of NATO. Countries like Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, and Romania wanted to join the alliance — and paid a high price in terms of domestic reforms to do so. These are not puppet states manipulated by Washington; they are nations fleeing the legacy of Soviet domination.


2. Democracy vs. Autocracy: A Global Proxy Battle

Another powerful framing is ideological: this is a war between autocracy and democracy.

Ukraine represents more than just a state on the map — it’s an experiment in democratic development on Russia’s doorstep. A thriving, Western-aligned Ukraine sends a dangerous message to the Russian people: you too could be free.

There’s a reason there’s no Navalny in Estonia or Poland — because those nations, despite their struggles, have functioning democracies and rule of law. But Russia, like Saddam’s Iraq, relies on manufactured external enemies to maintain internal control. Dictatorships often need war or threats of war to justify authoritarian rule, censorship, and domestic repression.

Putin’s regime is no exception. The war sustains the myth of a besieged Russia encircled by hostile NATO forces and moral decay. Ending the war without losing face is not just a matter of diplomacy — it’s existential for the regime’s survival.


3. NATO Expansion: Demand-Driven, Not Imposed

Western critics often cite NATO’s expansion as a provocation. But this interpretation flips cause and effect. NATO didn’t expand because it wanted to “surround” Russia — it expanded because countries formerly dominated by Moscow clamored to join.

They did so because of legitimate fears about Russian revanchism, which have now proven entirely justified. Ukraine’s desire to align with the EU and NATO is not a conspiracy — it is a sovereign choice grounded in the national will.


4. The West’s Hypocrisy in Africa: France the Colonialist, Russia the Liberator?

While the West often frames itself as the defender of democracy, this narrative falters in other parts of the world — especially in West Africa. France’s neocolonial entanglements and economic dominance in former colonies have bred resentment, especially among the youth.

Enter Russia, not with ideals of democracy, but with anti-colonial rhetoric. Wagner mercenaries in Mali and Burkina Faso have positioned Moscow as the new liberator, exploiting the vacuum left by discredited Western influence. This contradiction exposes a truth: democracy and colonialism cannot coexist, and Western policy often fails to uphold its own professed values.

This undermines the West’s moral credibility and hands propaganda victories to Putin on a global scale.


5. The Limits of War: Why the Conflict Is So Hard to Resolve

This war is difficult to end because it's not just a war over territory — it’s a war over systems of governance and legitimacy.

Putin cannot afford to lose. A military defeat could spell political collapse. And yet, the West and Ukraine cannot allow a precedent to be set where aggression and occupation are rewarded. This impasse creates a deadly stalemate.

Further complicating matters, Putin’s methods — from poisoning opponents to assassinating ministers in parking lots — show the ruthlessness with which he consolidates power. For such a leader, peace is a threat, not a goal.


6. Toward a Political Solution: The Case for a Peace Formula

Military options are running thin. Sanctions have weakened Russia but failed to halt the war. Western military aid to Ukraine has enabled resistance but not victory. The “ceasefire-first” model — tried in 2014 and 2015 — has only led to frozen conflicts that later reignited.

A realistic peace formula must acknowledge that regime change in Moscow is not a viable strategy. Instead, it must pursue:

  • Security guarantees for Ukraine, possibly outside of NATO.

  • Withdrawal of Russian forces from occupied territories.

  • Phased sanctions relief tied to compliance.

  • An international security conference, with both Western and non-Western actors involved.

The book Formula for Peace in Ukraine lays out such a framework. It avoids the utopianism of total Russian democratization while not rewarding aggression. A YouTube presentation of the same name makes the case in more accessible form.


Conclusion: Multiple Truths, One Urgent Goal

The Russia-Ukraine war is not a puzzle with a single solution. It is a web of narratives — imperial legacies, ideological clashes, domestic survival strategies, and global hypocrisy. Recognizing this complexity is the first step toward crafting a durable peace.

But peace will not come from tanks or speeches alone. It will require moral clarity, political courage, and strategic creativity from leaders in Kyiv, Moscow, Washington, and beyond.

History is watching. Let it not be said that we were too narrow in our thinking, too divided in our action, or too late in our response. The world needs a roadmap — not for victory, but for peace with justice.


Further Reading:

  • Formula for Peace in Ukraine: Amazon

  • Video presentation: YouTube





रूस-यूक्रेन युद्ध के अनेक दृष्टिकोण: शक्ति, विचारधारा और शांति का कठिन रास्ता


रूस-यूक्रेन युद्ध 21वीं सदी के सबसे जटिल और महत्वपूर्ण संघर्षों में से एक है। सतह पर यह एक बड़े देश द्वारा छोटे पड़ोसी पर आक्रमण जैसा लगता है, लेकिन इसके नीचे इतिहास, विचारधारा, भू-राजनीति और सत्ता-राजनीति की कई परतें हैं। यह केवल टैंकों और लड़ाइयों की कहानी नहीं है — यह साम्राज्यों, लोकतंत्र आंदोलनों और उपनिवेशवाद के बाद की राजनीति की भी गूंज है।

आइए इस संघर्ष को समझने के कुछ मुख्य तरीकों को विस्तार से देखें।


1. बड़ी ताकतें बनाम छोटे राष्ट्र: रूस का मॉनरो सिद्धांत?

रूस की आक्रामकता को एक महाशक्ति के व्यवहार के रूप में देखा जा सकता है। व्लादिमीर पुतिन का यह दावा कि यूक्रेन को पश्चिमी प्रभाव या NATO का हिस्सा नहीं बनना चाहिए, मूलतः एक रूसी मॉनरो सिद्धांत को पुनर्जीवित करता है — जैसा कि 19वीं सदी में अमेरिका ने यूरोपीय शक्तियों के खिलाफ अमेरिका महाद्वीप में अपनाया था।

पुतिन यूक्रेन को एक स्वतंत्र राष्ट्र के रूप में नहीं, बल्कि एक रणनीतिक बफर ज़ोन के रूप में देखते हैं। लेकिन यह सोच तब ढह जाती है जब हम देखते हैं कि पूर्वी यूरोप के देशों ने स्वयं NATO में शामिल होने की इच्छा जताई थी और इसके लिए कठिन राजनीतिक और आर्थिक सुधार किए।


2. लोकतंत्र बनाम अधिनायकवाद: वैश्विक वैचारिक संघर्ष

इस युद्ध को एक लोकतंत्र बनाम अधिनायकवाद के संघर्ष के रूप में भी देखा जा सकता है।

यूक्रेन सिर्फ एक भूगोल नहीं है, वह रूस की सीमा पर लोकतंत्र का प्रतीक बन चुका है। यदि यूक्रेन सफल होता है, तो यह रूस की जनता को यह संदेश देगा कि वे भी स्वतंत्र हो सकते हैं

इसलिए एस्टोनिया या पोलैंड में कोई "नवलनी" नहीं है — क्योंकि वहां लोकतांत्रिक संस्थाएं मजबूत हैं। लेकिन रूस जैसे अधिनायकवादी शासन को आंतरिक नियंत्रण बनाए रखने के लिए बाहरी दुश्मन की आवश्यकता होती है। सद्दाम हुसैन ने कुवैत पर हमला इसलिए किया क्योंकि उसकी सत्ता को ऐसे ही संघर्षों की जरूरत थी।

पुतिन का शासन भी इस पैटर्न पर चलता है। यह युद्ध आंतरिक नियंत्रण बनाए रखने का एक साधन है, शांति की ओर कदम नहीं।


3. NATO का विस्तार: मांग आधारित, थोपा नहीं गया

पश्चिम की आलोचना यह कहकर होती है कि NATO का विस्तार उकसावे वाला था। लेकिन यह तर्क सच्चाई को उल्टा प्रस्तुत करता है।

NATO ने विस्तार इसलिए नहीं किया क्योंकि वह रूस को घेरना चाहता था, बल्कि कई पूर्व सोवियत देश खुद इसमें शामिल होना चाहते थे। उन्होंने रूस के अधिपत्य से बचने के लिए NATO को चुना, और इसके लिए कड़े मानदंड पूरे किए। यूक्रेन की EU और NATO में जाने की इच्छा एक संप्रभु राष्ट्र की स्वतंत्र इच्छा है।


4. पश्चिम अफ्रीका में पाखंड: फ्रांस उपनिवेशवादी, रूस मुक्तिदाता?

पश्चिम खुद को अक्सर लोकतंत्र का रक्षक बताता है, लेकिन पश्चिम अफ्रीका जैसे क्षेत्रों में यह कथा खोखली लगती है।

फ्रांस की उपनिवेशवादी विरासत और आर्थिक प्रभुत्व ने वहां नाराज़गी पैदा की है। रूस, विशेष रूप से वाग्नर ग्रुप के माध्यम से, खुद को एक "उपनिवेशवाद विरोधी शक्ति" के रूप में प्रस्तुत करता है। जब लोकतंत्र और उपनिवेशवाद साथ-साथ खड़े होते हैं, तो पश्चिम की नैतिक स्थिति कमजोर हो जाती है।

इससे वैश्विक दक्षिण में पश्चिम के नैतिक आह्वान की विश्वसनीयता घटती है और पुतिन की प्रचार मशीन को ताकत मिलती है।


5. युद्ध की सीमाएं: समाधान क्यों मुश्किल है?

यह युद्ध केवल ज़मीन का नहीं, बल्कि शासन की वैधता और विचारधारा का युद्ध बन चुका है।

पुतिन हार नहीं सकते — हार का मतलब सत्ता से बाहर होना हो सकता है। वहीं पश्चिम और यूक्रेन यह स्वीकार नहीं कर सकते कि आक्रामकता को इनाम मिले। यही गतिरोध युद्ध को खींचता जा रहा है।

इसके अलावा, पुतिन के कार्य — चाहे विपक्षियों को जहर देना हो या मंत्रियों को मरवा देना — यह दिखाते हैं कि सत्ता बनाए रखने के लिए वे किस हद तक जा सकते हैं। ऐसे व्यक्ति के लिए शांति एक खतरा है, समाधान नहीं


6. राजनीतिक समाधान की आवश्यकता: शांति सूत्र की बात

सैन्य रास्ते सीमित हो चुके हैं। प्रतिबंधों ने रूस को कमजोर किया लेकिन युद्ध को नहीं रोका। सैन्य सहायता ने यूक्रेन को बचाया पर जीत नहीं दिलाई। “पहले युद्धविराम” मॉडल 2014 और 2015 में विफल रहा है।

अब ज़रूरत है एक राजनीतिक रोडमैप की, जो इस संघर्ष को वास्तविकता के आधार पर सुलझा सके। इसमें हो सकता है:

  • यूक्रेन को सुरक्षा गारंटी, NATO में शामिल हुए बिना।

  • रूसी सेना की वापसी

  • प्रतिबंधों में चरणबद्ध राहत, अनुपालन पर आधारित।

  • एक अंतरराष्ट्रीय सुरक्षा सम्मेलन, जिसमें पश्चिम और वैश्विक दक्षिण दोनों की भागीदारी हो।

Formula for Peace in Ukraine नामक पुस्तक इसी तरह का एक यथार्थवादी फ्रेम प्रस्तुत करती है। इसका YouTube प्रस्तुतीकरण भी उपलब्ध है।


निष्कर्ष: कई सत्य, एक उद्देश्य

रूस-यूक्रेन युद्ध कोई एक सूत्रीय समस्या नहीं है। यह शक्ति, विचारधारा, इतिहास और भू-राजनीति का जटिल संगम है।

शांति केवल सैन्य बल या बयानबाज़ी से नहीं आएगी। इसके लिए नैतिक स्पष्टता, राजनीतिक साहस, और रणनीतिक चतुराई की आवश्यकता है।

इतिहास हमें देख रहा है। हमारी सोच सीमित, हमारे कदम विभाजित और हमारी प्रतिक्रिया देर से न हो — यही आज की पुकार है।


अधिक जानकारी के लिए:







Monday, July 14, 2025

14: Ukraine

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

‘The numbers are unambiguous:’ ICE raids on U.S. farms threaten food production
China's economy gets surprise lift from Trump's trade war
Trump tariffs would lift US factory jobs, cut overall income, San Francisco Fed says
Major Trump 'lie is beginning to unravel': Nobel-winning economist A Nobel Prize-winning economist believes Americans are souring on the Trump administration's draconian immigration policies because they finally realize "they've been lied to" about the inherent "criminality" of people fleeing oppression and looking for steady work inside the United States. ......... "When asked if immigration is generally a good thing or bad thing for the country, a record-high 79% of U.S. adults call it a good thing; a record-low 17% see it as a bad thing." ........ more Americans rejecting Trump's border wall and mass deportation policies. ........ last week, Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem declared that Los Angeles was not so much a city of immigrants as one of "criminals." And yet, LA officials reported last week "that LA is on track to have the fewest homicides in 60 years." ........ As Americans start to parse fact from fiction being fed to them from the Trump administration's claims that rapists, murderers, and the worst-of-the-worst from "insane asylums" were being released into the streets, Krugman wrote, "it seems to me that the lie is beginning to unravel as it becomes clear that ICE is having a really hard time finding violent immigrants to arrest." ......... "only around 78,000 undocumented immigrants with criminal records, and 14,000 convicted of violent crimes," had made their way over the border. ........ "Meanwhile, Stephen Miller is demanding that ICE arrest 3,000 people a day. Do the math, and you see why they’re grabbing farm workers and chasing day laborers in Home Depot parking lots," Krugman wrote.

I Don't Disapprove of Trump's Strategy, Because He Doesn't Have One When you're a Tariff Man, you don't need reasons ....... Trump’s 50 percent tariff on Brazil for the sin of actually putting a would-be dictator on trial was shocking. But in its own way the 30 percent tariff on the EU is just as shocking — because the EU has done nothing to warrant this tariff, and Trump’s letter doesn’t even hint at any action Europe could take to satisfy him. ......... US nonagricultural exports to the EU face an average tariff rate of 1 percent — that’s right, 1 percent. Agricultural goods face slightly higher barriers, 3.9 percent. Basically, US products already have almost free access to Europe’s market. The EU can’t make trade concessions because there’s nothing to concede. ........... My advice to the EU is to go ahead and retaliate. Trump says he’ll raise his tariff even higher if it does, but how much more damage can he do? And remember, US consumers will eventually pay Trump’s tariffs. .......... there clearly isn’t a strategy, just the prejudices of an ignorant man and his enablers.

Making Immigration Great Again Trump has reminded America that immigrants are people ........ The picture above isn’t a scene from a dystopian movie about an imaginary future U.S. civil war. It’s a photo from last week of heavily armed federal agents conducting an immigration raid in Los Angeles’ MacArthur Park............ Fortunately, this show of force ended up being more a show of farce. Area residents, warned of the impending raid, cleared out, leaving the agents to spend an hour or so stomping around an empty park ......... Tom Homans, Trump’s border czar, claims that ICE has the right to detain and question people based on their “physical appearance.” It seems all too likely that at some point one of these raids will turn into a massacre. .......... it’s beginning to look as if there’s more basic decency in the American body politic than is dreamed of in many pundits’ political philosophy. .........

approval of immigration in general is now at a record high

........ voters are twice as likely to support giving illegal immigrants a path to citizenship than they are to support deporting them. By the way, in 2023 Congress seemed likely to enact bipartisan legislation that would have opened such a path. But Trump killed it. .......... “They’re not a city of immigrants, they’re a city of criminals,” declared Kristi Noem about Los Angeles last month. Last week city officials reported that LA is on track to have the fewest homicides in 60 years. .......... It's true that many Americans have remained willing to believe that big cities like LA and NYC are scary urban hellscapes, even though they’re quite safe these days......... An aside: There was a period in the 1970s and 1980s when New York, in particular, actually was the kind of scary place people like Trump and Noem claim it still is. As it happens, that sort-of hellscape period coincided with an era when New York had fewer immigrants than at any time before or since ........ ICE is having a really hard time finding violent immigrants to arrest. ....... According to the Miami Herald, only around a third of the people being held in “Alligator Alcatraz” — a cute name, but it’s a concentration camp, pure and simple — have any kind of criminal conviction. .......... there may in total be only around 78,000 undocumented immigrants with criminal records, and 14,000 convicted of violent crimes. .......... Meanwhile, Stephen Miller is demanding that ICE arrest 3,000 people a day. Do the math, and you see why they’re grabbing farm workers and chasing day laborers in Home Depot parking lots. .......

It’s a familiar point that views of immigration tend to be most negative in places with very few immigrants and most positive in places where there are already many foreign-born residents.

............ And the Trumpies — for whom, as Adam Serwer famously observed, the cruelty is the point — are inadvertently humanizing immigrants for Americans who don’t have that kind of daily experience. The nightmarish ordeal of Kilmar Abrego Garcia has probably done more to highlight the humanity of immigrants, documented or not, than any number of charts and tables. And while some Americans are instinctively cruel, most are, I believe, instinctively decent. ......... Will the public backlash against Trump’s immigration policies force ICE to stand down? Probably not, although the courts may at least slow the mass arrests. Business may also have a say, as labor shortages disrupt agriculture, construction and more........ In any case, however, harsh anti-immigrant policies are looking like a political loser, not a winner.

Maddow Blog | Latest polling suggests Trump’s political advantage on immigration is gone

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

World War III Is Unnecessary
Grounded Greatness: The Case For Smart Surface Transit In Future Cities
The Garden Of Last Debates (novel)
Deported (novel)
Empty Country (novel)
Trump’s Default: The Mist Of Empire (novel)
The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
Formula For Peace In Ukraine
A 2T Cut
Are We Frozen in Time?: Tech Progress, Social Stagnation
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

23: Ukraine

Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
Prophecies Are Proof Of God
The Most Awaited Person In Human History Is Here
Nepal: The Vishwa Guru Of A New Economic Era (English and Hindi)

Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
Prophecies Are Proof Of God
The Most Awaited Person In Human History Is Here
Nepal: The Vishwa Guru Of A New Economic Era (English and Hindi)

Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
Prophecies Are Proof Of God
The Most Awaited Person In Human History Is Here
Nepal: The Vishwa Guru Of A New Economic Era (English and Hindi)